One of the most difficult math concepts to teach young children is probability. A Very Improbable Story by Edward Einhorn is a great tool for helping children understand the idea of chance through a funny, fanciful, 'improbable' story.
For the presentation of probability concepts to younger students I recommend Probably Pistachio by Stuart Murphy.
Teaching Tip:
With young children we want to begin with the language of probability: likely, unlikely, certain and impossible. Give them many experiences categorizing events according to these four labels.
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